Directional Movement Index (DMI)
HISTORY
J. Welles
Wilder created the DMI and featured it in his book New Concepts in Technical
Trading Systems . The book was published in 1978 and also featured several
of his now classic indicators such as; The Relative Strength Index, Average
True Range (ATR) and the Parabolic SAR. Much like the indicators mentioned, the
DMI is still widely used and has great importance in the world of technical
analysis.
DEFINITION
Directional
Movement (DMI) is actually a collection of three separate indicators combined
into one. Directional Movement consists of the Average Directional Index (ADX),
Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI). ADX's
purposes is to define whether or not there is a trend present. It does not take
direction into account at all. The other two indicators (+DI and -DI) are used
to compliment the ADX. They serve the purpose of determining trend direction.
By combining all three, a technical analyst has a way of determining and
measuring a trend's strength as well as its direction.
CALCULATION
Calculating
the DMI can actually be broken down into two parts.
First,
calculating the +DI and -DI, and second, calculating the ADX.
To
calculate the +DI and -DI you need to find the +DM and -DM (Directional Movement).
+DM
and -DM are calculated using the High, Low and Close for each period.
You
can then calculate the following:
Current
High - Previous High = UpMove
Current
Low - Previous Low = DownMove
If
UpMove > DownMove and UpMove > 0, then +DM = UpMove, else +DM = 0
If
DownMove > Upmove and Downmove > 0, then -DM = DownMove, else -DM = 0
Once
you have the current +DM and -DM calculated, the +DM and -DM lines can be
calculated
and plotted based on the number of user defined periods.
+DI
= 100 times Exponential Moving Average of (+DM / Average True Range)
-DI
= 100 times Exponential Moving Average of (-DM / Average True Range)
Now
that -+DX and -DX have been calculated, the last step is calculating the ADX.
ADX
= 100 times the Exponential Moving Average of the Absolute Value of (+DI - -DI)
/ (+DI + -DI)
THE
BASICS
DMI has a
value between 0 and 100 and is used to measure the strength of the current trend.
+DI and -DI are then used to measure direction. When combined, the indicator
can provide some valuable insight. A general interpretation would be that
during a strong trend (ADX above 25 but dependent on the analyst's
interpretation), when the +DI is above the -DI, then a Bullish Market is
defined. When -DI is above +DI, then a Bearish Market is at hand.
One thing to
be considered is that what DMI values determine, strength or a potential
signal, is up to the trader's interpretation. Acceptable values may change
depending on the financial instrument being examined, therefore some historical
analysis of the instrument in question would be prudent. A technical analyst
can make better decisions based on what has occurred in historical examples.
WHAT
TO LOOK FOR
Trend Strength
Analyzing trend
strength is the most basic use for the DMI. To analyze trend strength, the
focus should be on the ADX line and not the +DI or -DI lines. Wilder believed
that a DMI reading above 25 indicated a strong trend, while a reading below 20
indicated a weak or non-existent trend. A reading between those two values,
would be considered indeterminable. However, as previously mentioned, an
experienced trader would not take the 25 and 20 values and apply them in every
situation. What is truly a strong trend or a weak trend depends on the
financial instrument being examined. Historical analysis can assist in
determining appropriate values.
Also, keep in mind that Wilder developed the dmi for use with currencies and commodities which are typically more volatile
than stocks and have stronger trends. This will factor into determining
which values are appropriate not just for analyzing the strength of a
trend, but also for any signals generated.
Crosses
DI Crossovers are the significant trading signal generated by the DMI. There is a particular set of conditions for each cross.
Bullish DI Cross
ADX must be over 25 (strong trend. The value is determined by trader)
The +DI crosses above the -DI.
Stop Loss should be set at the current day's low. The signal should
not be abandoned, if the low is not breached, even if the -DI crosses
above the +DI
The signal strengthens if ADX rises.
If ADX strengthens, trader's should employ a trailing stop.
Bearish DI Cross
ADX must be over 25 (strong trend. The value is determined by trader)
The -DI crosses above the +DI.
Stop Loss should be set at the current day's high. The signal should
not be abandoned, if the high is not breached, even if the +DI crosses
above the -DI
The signal strengthens if ADX rises.
If ADX strengthens, trader's should employ a trailing stop.
SUMMARY
Directional Movement (DMI) is another quite valuable technical analysis indicator provided by Wilder. It takes the very complex subject of trend strength
and direction and calculates it down into a very simple and
straightforward visual. The key takeaway of using the DMI is that even
though it can provide quality information and even trading signals,
it is not an easy indicator to master. To truly get the most out of
DMI, a technical analyst will have to continually study and tweak their
use of the indicator. Combining the knowledge of how DMI works and its
capabilities, along with a decent amount of historical analysis and experience, will help the trader to make the DMI a good, possible addition to their overall trading strategy.
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